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A complete oversight and update of US economic indicators this week 👇

Overview

     

Mon July 8

 

 

Actual

Forecast

Previous

21:00

Consumer Credit m/m

11.4B

10.7B

6.4B

     

Tue July 9

 

Actual

Forecast

Previous

12:00

NFIB Small Business Index

91.5

89.2

90.5

15:15

FOMC Member Barr Speaks

   

16:00

Fed Chair Powell Testifies

   

16:00

Treasury Sec Yellen Speaks

   

19:30

FOMC Member Bowman Speaks

   
     

Wed July 10

 

Actual

Forecast

Previous

16:00

Fed Chair Powell Testifies

   

16:00

Final Wholesale Inventories m/m

0.6%

0.6%

0.6%

16:30

Crude Oil Inventories  

-3.4M

0.7M

-12.2M

19:01

10-y Bond Auction

4.28|2.6 4.44|2.7

20:30

FOMC Member Bowman Speaks

   

20:30

FOMC Member Goolsbee Speaks

   
     

Thu July 11

 

Actual

Forecast

Previous

01:30

FOMC Member Cook Speaks

   

14:30

Core CPI m/m

0.1%

0.2%

0.2%

14:30

CPI m/m

 -0.1%

0.1%

0.0%

14:30

CPI y/y 

 3.0%

3.1%

3.3%

14:30

Unemployment Claims

222K

236K

238K

16:30

Natural Gas Storage

   

17:30

FOMC Member Bostic Speaks

   

19:00

FOMC Member Musalem Speaks

   

19:01

30-y Bond Auction

4.41|2.3

 

4.40|2.5

20:00

Federal Budget Balance

-66.0B

-71.2B

-347.1B

     

Fri July 12

 

 

Actual

Forecast

Previous

14:30

Core PPI m/m

0.4%

0.2%

0.3%

14:30

PPI m/m

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

16:00

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment

66.0

68.5

68.2

16:00

Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations

2.9%

 

3%

Must read: Drop in U.S. Inflation: What It Means for Your Money and the Crypto Market!

Crypto Market Hopes for Interest Rate Cuts

After the recent dip, investors are hoping the bottom has been reached. News regarding interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) could potentially boost prices.

This Thursday will be a crucial day as the new Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures are released.

In the first quarter of 2024, inflation unexpectedly rose, preventing the six anticipated rate cuts by the Fed. Now, inflation has been declining for several weeks, which could be positive news for Bitcoin. 

Also read: Is the U.S. Headed for a Recession?

If the CPI figures are lower again on Thursday, it could provide the confirmation the Fed needs to cut rates in September, which could be beneficial for Bitcoin.

  • Consumer Credit m/m higher than expected

Yesterday the Consumer credit month-over-month (m/m) figures came in higher than expected at $11.4 billion versus the forecast of $10.7 billion.

When consumer credit month-over-month (m/m) figures are higher than expected, it means that the total amount of consumer credit outstanding has increased more than anticipated over the past month.

This can be a reason to consider lowering interest rates to ease the burden of interest payments on consumers.

  • NFIB Small Business Index higher than expected

A higher-than-expected NFIB Small Business Index is generally a positive sign for the economy, indicating strong confidence among small business owners, potential economic growth, and favorable employment trends

NFIB Small Business Optimism Index is a composite of ten seasonally adjusted components calculated based on the answers of around 620 NFIB members. This questions include: plans to increase employment, plans to make capital outlays, plans to increase inventories, expect economy to improve, expect real sales higher, current inventory, current job openings, expected credit conditions, now a good time to expand, and earnings trend.

  • FED Chair Powell not positive on rate cuts

FED Chair Jerome Powell says data does not support the greater confidence in inflation path that the Federal Reserve needs to cut rates.

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FOR EDUCATIONAL AND INFORMATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE.

The information contained on this Website and the resources available for download through this website is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, financial advice. I am not an attorney, accountant or financial advisor, nor am I holding myself out to be, and the information contained on this Website is not a substitute for financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.

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